Despite its previous upward trend, the growth of both international and domestic travel are projected to decelerate in the first few months of 2019, owing to a number of worrying trends.
Travel to and within the U.S. grew 3.0 percent year-over-year in November, according to the U.S. Travel Association’s latest Matkatrendihakemisto (TTI)—marking the industry’s 107th straight month of overall expansion.
Though international inbound travel grew 3.8 percent year-over-year in November—higher than the sluggish 2.4 percent figure for October—the Leading Travel Index (LTI) projects growth in that segment to slow to around 1.0 percent growth through May 2019.
“A number of factors—notably rising trade tensions, softening global growth and the increase in the value of the dollar against other currencies throughout 2018—have the potential to dampen international inbound travel in the near-term,” said U.S. Travel Senior Vice President for Research David Huether.
The decelerated rate of international inbound travel growth will impede U.S. efforts to increase its share of the global international travel market.
Domestic travel grew 3.0 percent year-over-year in November, with both business and leisure travel registering gains thanks to historically high levels of consumer confidence. At the moment, that segment’s year-over-year growth is expected to slow to 2.4 percent through May 2019, with the business segment outpacing leisure travel.
However, U.S. Travel economists caution that the road ahead for domestic business travel could become rocky as well, as recent volatility in the markets could dampen what has been a strong investment trend.
TTI: n valmistelee Yhdysvaltain matkailua varten tutkimusyritys Oxford Economics. TTI perustuu julkisen ja yksityisen sektorin lähdetietoihin, joita lähde virasto tarkistaa. TTI perustuu seuraaviin tietoihin: ennakkohaku ja varaustiedot ADARA: lta ja nSightilta; lentoyhtiön varaustiedot Airlines Reporting Corporationilta (ARC); IATA, OAG ja muut taulukot kansainvälisistä saapuvista matkoista Yhdysvaltoihin; ja hotellihuoneiden kysyntätiedot STR: ltä.